Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.448657 0.491711 0.537797 0.590918 0.650607 0.715772 0.792525
2026-02-01 0.370884 0.429320 0.496225 0.578989 0.679299 0.797803 0.949678
2026-02-08 0.331608 0.398316 0.478286 0.582220 0.715194 0.881633 1.108936
2026-02-15 0.300046 0.370866 0.458864 0.577796 0.736747 0.945371 1.245882
2026-02-22 0.278126 0.352270 0.447283 0.580148 0.764697 1.017454 1.399711
2026-03-01 0.256672 0.331827 0.430673 0.572979 0.777338 1.067864 1.526728
2026-03-08 0.238032 0.313307 0.414605 0.564265 0.785722 1.111434 1.646928
2026-03-15 0.219002 0.292672 0.393757 0.546454 0.778337 1.129668 1.728189
2026-03-22 0.211128 0.286869 0.393040 0.557401 0.814325 1.216871 1.931111
2026-03-29 0.203371 0.280568 0.390927 0.565713 0.846451 1.300523 2.138344
2026-04-05 0.195111 0.272905 0.386122 0.569216 0.870765 1.373194 2.335210
2026-04-12 0.187189 0.265184 0.380595 0.570920 0.891887 1.442020 2.533722
2026-04-19 0.180488 0.259014 0.377188 0.576005 0.919582 1.526092 2.775960
2026-04-26 0.170446 0.247176 0.364242 0.564443 0.917448 1.556079 2.914641
2026-05-03 0.164506 0.241330 0.360328 0.567575 0.941339 1.636543 3.170222
2026-05-10 0.157480 0.233363 0.352479 0.563287 0.951174 1.690811 3.377258
2026-05-17 0.152325 0.228078 0.348630 0.565567 0.973177 1.771060 3.655479
2026-05-24 0.145760 0.220167 0.339962 0.558618 0.976900 1.814429 3.854290
2026-05-31 0.139379 0.212244 0.330832 0.550170 0.976894 1.849837 4.039442
2026-06-07 0.131837 0.202069 0.317364 0.532900 0.957991 1.842914 4.116936
2026-06-14 0.129643 0.200692 0.318888 0.543515 0.996016 1.964060 4.548632
2026-06-21 0.127124 0.198631 0.319081 0.551573 1.029432 2.078813 4.986494
2026-06-28 0.123986 0.195360 0.316948 0.554969 1.053276 2.174282 5.390005